Season 6 Draft Lottery

 After being quite late on the Season 5 Draft Order, the goal of this post is two fold: first, to establish the Draft Order for Season 6 and also to explain the logistics of the MWR using our first two examples. When consulting the committee, I expressed that I was hoping to settle on a rule that was "straightforward, fair, enforcable and also allows teams to rebuild in a reasonable amount of time while still feeling like it is something people would want to avoid." 

 We have come to the conclusion that the penalty for missing the MWR will be "Teams winning fewer than 55 games in a season will pick no higher than 10th in the ensuing Amateur Draft regardless of lottery results. If multiple teams win less than 55 games, the team that comes the closest recieves the 10th pick, 2nd closest gets the 11th pick and so on. Ties will be broken using the highest Expected Win Percentage among tied teams." 

All of this brings us to Step 1: assigning lottery odds. This is done entirely by end-of-season record regardless of whether or not the MWR was achieved. Based on the S5 win totals, we get the following:


Next is Step 2: conducting the actual lottery. The results of the ping-pong ball frenzy are below: 


Step 3: Enforcing the MWR. We had two teams who fell short of the 55 win benchmark in Season 5: Louisville (46 wins) and Boise (54 wins.) Boise was closer to the threshold, so they get the #10 pick and Louisville gets the #11 pick and everyone else gets slotted in according to the ping pong balls. The final result is as follows: 
  1. Tacoma
  2. Philadelphia
  3. Vancouver
  4. Charlotte
  5. Nashville
  6. Arizona
  7. Texas
  8. Helena
  9. Colorado Springs
  10. Boise
  11. Louisville
  12. Chicago {moved to New York in Season 6} 
  13. Durham
  14. Baltimore
  15. Portland
  16. Los Angeles