Showing posts with label Budgets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Budgets. Show all posts

S4 The Six-Tier Mirage: Dispatches from the International Frontier

Eli Cash - contributing reporter

I was sitting in a hotel bar in Santo Domingo when the first whispers came through the ceiling fan — the kind of whispers that smell like ambition and motor oil. Six tiers. Six layers of the economic afterlife. A new system to measure what a team can spend on hope, or at least the version of hope that throws ninety-seven and can hit a curveball in the dark. The bartender told me the tiers were supposed to make things “fair.” I told him fairness is a rumor spread by accountants.

Tier One rides tall — these are the desert kings, the oil scions, the men who believe the world was built so they could sign it. Their checkbooks glint like machetes in the sun. They don’t scout — they summon. You can almost hear the laughter of the gods when they announce a $5 million bonus for a kid who hasn’t yet learned to shave. I envy them in the way one might envy a thunderstorm: destructive, inevitable, and somehow poetic.

  • Indianapolis 
  • Tier Two is not so rich in blood or gold, but they still carry a certain nobility — like the second son of a forgotten dynasty, sipping flat champagne in the shadow of empire. These teams still dream big, but they have to dream clever. They talk about “market inefficiencies” as if that’s a kind of faith. I’ve seen their scouts sleeping in airports, translating potential into per diem receipts. There’s a sadness in it, but also a kind of quiet art.

  • Charlotte
  • Salt Lake City
  • Fresno
  • Tier Three lives in the gray — what I call the philosophical middle class of baseball. They can afford to gamble, but only on a horse that’s already half-broken. These are the teams who find poetry in the waiver wire, who believe every $600,000 shortstop from Caracas might just be the key to eternal life. I respect their delusion. I share it.

  • Tacoma
  • Philadelphia
  • Helena
  • Baltimore
  • Arizona
  • Durham
  • Vancouver
  • Tier Four is where the mirage starts to fade. They wander the same desert as the rest, but their canteens are dry. You’ll hear their GMs talk about “development focus,” “internal growth,” and “strategic restraint.” I’ve used all those phrases myself, usually right before my editor stops returning calls. They don’t buy players — they rent dreams. Sometimes the dreams come due. Usually they don’t.

  • Cincinnati
  • Rochester
  • Scottsdale
  • Colorado Springs
  • Texas
  • Tier Five… well, these are the haunted ones. They’re the teams whose fax machines still hum with regret. They know the numbers, the limitations, the futility of their chase, and yet they show up at the market anyway — like a man showing up to a duel with a pocketknife and a poem. I admire their courage, though it often looks like confusion. Somewhere deep down, they must believe that destiny still accepts credit.

  • Chicago
  • Boston
  • Tucson
  • Trenton
  • Nashville
  • Los Angeles
  • Montgomery
  • New York
  • Louisville
  • And then there’s Tier Six. The forgotten pilgrims. The ones who watch the whole show from the cheap seats of history. Their budgets are smaller than the tip line at Tier One’s team dinner. Yet somehow, they persist — the monks of the market, trading faith instead of funds. Maybe they’ll find a kid out there who doesn’t care about money, just the smell of leather and red dirt. Maybe they won’t. Either way, they’ll tell themselves it’s noble.

  • Buffalo
  • San Antonio
  • New Orleans
  • Mexico City
  • Fargo
  • St Louis
  • Syracuse
  • Because that’s the trick, isn’t it? The market isn’t about money — it’s about mythology. Every team believes it’s building a legend. Every scout believes he’s found a ghost. Every general manager thinks he’s outsmarted gravity. But in the end, they all wake up in the same heat, under the same sky, staring at the same mirage that keeps the whole thing moving.

    I left the bar that night and walked out into the alley behind the stadium. A kid was throwing a ball against a rusted fence — barefoot, balanced on dreams alone. I asked him what tier he thought he belonged to. He shrugged and said, “The one that signs me.”

    Maybe that’s the only truth there is. The tiers are just scaffolding. The rest is dust and destiny.

    S3 IFA Spending Tiers

    Eli Cash - contributing reporter

    The Hardball Stitches owners love spending on the international market, let's break the teams into tiers for available prospect money. We've tried to keep in mind teams who have higher draft picks and will need to save a little for the Rule 4 draft versus the others who might be only spending on IFA this year. Listed teams in alphabetical order by their tier. 

    • Tier 1 
      • Cincinnati
      • Indianapolis
      • Fresno
    • Tier 2
      • Baltimore
      • Helena
      • Scottsdale
      • Trenton
    • Tier 3
      • Charlotte
      • Philadelphia
      • Salt Lake City
      • Vancouver
    • Tier 4
      • Arizona
      • Durham
      • Fargo
      • Montgomery
      • Rochester
    • Tier 5
      • Colorado Springs
      • Louisville
      • Los Angeles
      • Tacoma
      • Texas
      • Tucson
    • Tier 6
      • Chicago
      • Nashville
    • Tier 7
      • Buffalo
      • New York
    • Tier 8 
      • Boston
      • Mexico City
      • San Antonio
      • St Louis
      • Syracuse

    S1 - Budget Updates

     Eli Cash - contributing reporter

    Alright, listen up. With the regular Free Agency period winding down to a gloriously anticlimactic halt, it's time to turn our gaze toward the International market, a realm so untamed it could be a surrealist painting if you squint. Sure, a few more free agents might sign, but that's the calm before the storm. Owners are waiting for the dust to settle on the high-priced AA/AAAA talent that's been pararded out like a lineup for circus freaks, hoping to make a splash at the Major League level. But as of today? This where where we stand. 

    Here's the thing: many owners are preparing for a sky-high IFA market, which, if you were paying attention to our One Thing article - because you're all savants - you would've seen coming. The pieces were right there, right between the lines, waiting to be noticed. So, let's dive into the teams that have the cojones to make a play in this market - those with at least $15M in prospect money. Teams like Philadelphia and Buffalo each have four picks combined between Round 1 and the Competitive Balance Round. They're sitting pretty, but they'll have to make a tough decision; do they go all in on the draft quality, or do they throw their hat into the wild, unpredictable ring of the International stage? It's a gamble, because even that $600k for a late comp round pick could turn into a dealbreaker when the bidding war heats up for a Japanese phenom.

    Now, I should point out that all this is based on estimates. Why? Well, the accountants are on strike, of course. You didn't think we'd have a nice, neat spreadsheet for this, did you? No, this is a world of chaos, and we're all just dancing in the moonlight. 

    In parentheses is the number of picks that fall within the First and Comp Rounds. 

    • $45M - Indianapolis (3)
    • $41M - Cincinnati (2)
    • $38M - Fresno (2)
    • $36M - Fargo (2)
    • $34M - Montgomery (4)
      • Picked up an extra 2nd round picks too
    • $33M - Arizona (1)
    • $31M - Buffalo (4)
    • $30M - Baltimore (3)
    • $28M - Nashville (3)
    • $25M - Scottsdale (2) & Tucson (1)
    • $24M - Durham (1) & Trenton (2)
    • $23M - Chicago (1), San Antonio (2), Texas (1), Colorado Springs (4), & Syracuse (1)
    • $22M - Los Angeles (2) & Vancouver (1)
    • $20M - New York (1), Helena (2), Scranton (2), & Philadelphia (3)
      • Philly also picked up 2 extra 2nd round picks
    If they sign all those picks, Montgomery, Buffalo, and Philadelphia could move down considerably on that list. 

    S1 Budget Updates

    Eli Cash - contributing reporter

    Alright Hardball Stitches fans, as we near the Arbitration deadline. Every case has already been resolved but we still have plenty of movement on the trade market. Let's pause and take a quick look at some different budget numbers. We'll look at Free Agent budget remaining, possible IFA spending, and Future Commitments; which will typically be covered in our On The Books series.

    First we'll tackle the upcoming Free Agent market. Now being our first season it's not always easy to tell, but we have indicators of who will be looking at the International market as well. At the top of the list is Salt Lake City being able to afford nearly two max deals; and given their minimum prospect budget - I fully expect them to go hard in Free Agency. There are 9 other teams who can still afford a max deal and it's widely assumed that Koji Katou will get just that as the top name on the market. The home town favorite Indianapolis might just have the edge on everyone there. But which pitcher gets the money - will it be Louie Vizquel or Javier Nieves; both of whom will give Montgomery a Type A pick. With the control issues of many other "top" arms, keep an eye on Anthony Crow as a contender to get paid. Texas currently has the least amount of wiggle room with just $4.3M left to spend. Tacoma is not far behind them; but having been late to the waiving party - they expect to clear some budgets off their books as well. 


    And now for the ever expensive International Market, where no team (besides maybe Fresno and Scranton - for legal reasons we are not allowed to comment on this any further) has more than $15M in scouting the international market. We've taken into account budgets that can be transferred and while we do not have access to everyone's books; we feel we are within a rounding error of the numbers. Indianapolis is #1 - though if you take off their $30M spend on Katou, they have left with a max of just shy of $30M; falling them down outside the top 12. A few things to take into considering are the quantity of Rule 4 draft picks that some times will likely spend on - like Montgomery mentioned above. With extra Type A and comp rounds picks; they will clearly have less to spend internationally. St. Louis falls within the top 12 but having only budgeted $6M for prospects its very likely they only spend on the Rule 4 draft. 


    And finally for our On The Books update, Colorado Springs comes in as the big spender with no fear of committing to the future - having $127M already cooked in its books. Up there are Syracuse, Buffalo, and Scranton - all above $100M. Down on the, likely never getting married because they can't even mto having a dog; is Vancouver, Nashville, Arizona, and Durham. The former three all have high scouting as well. 




    S1 On the Books

    Eli Cash - contributing reporter

    Your money man here, this will be our first dive into budgets of the Hardball Stitches franchise; this series in particular will be a look at future committed money. We'll be sure to point who throws money around like they're visiting the strip club and those owners who are tight wads, afraid of commitment, and likely still single. But until the seasons starts we don't have access to everyone's books for the future money, we can go ahead and take a look at the current spending's for this inaugural season. 


    As it stands, Scranton and Tacoma appear to be competing for highest salary, which hopefully means they have the top talent as well. On the far end of the spectrum from those two teams are Montgomery and Syracuse, with barely over $30M spent on this season. Will be interesting to see the update once budgets are set to see who exactly as how much for Payroll.